Bush isn't really favoring Halliburton and Bechtel.

Who's winning, who's losing, and why.
Nov. 3 2003 3:54 PM

Fables of the Reconstruction

Bush isn't really favoring Halliburton and Bechtel.

(Continued from Page 1)

Running the numbers, the good news for the Center for Public Integrity is that there is indeed a positive correlation between contributions and contracts. The bad news is, the correlation coefficient turns out to be 0.192 and not statistically significant. To understand how weak those numbers are, go to this Web site and move your cursor to 0.2. An old joke among statistically minded social scientists is that "the world is correlated at 0.3."

A conscious effort to reward Bush cronies with lucrative government contracts would require a lot more coordination than the CPI uncovers.

Daniel W. Drezner is the author of All Politics Is Global (Princeton University Press, forthcoming). He keeps a daily blog at www.danieldrezner.com/blog.

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