Two years ago, Slate published the Saddameter, tracking the chances of a U.S. invasion of Iraq. Four years before that, the Clintometer followed President Bill Clinton's chances of being removed from office during the Monica Lewinsky scandal. Today Slate inaugurates the Miers-o-Meter, which will gauge Harriet Miers' chances of making it onto the Supreme Court.
Today's Chance of Confirmation: 75 percent
Yes, the Bush administration has bungled the Miers pitch. She also appears to have underwhelmed the senators with whom she has met, including Arlen Specter. Her questionnaire performance has only increased the outcry from bloggers and commentators. But Bush doesn't budge when the pundits kvetch, so he's not likely to chuck her. She's loyal and probably won't drop out if he wants her to stay on. No GOP senator has made serious noise about voting against her. Expectations are so low that it's still possible for Bush's longtime friend to get the nod: She just needs to perform well enough at her hearings to overcome the negative assessment that has led up to them.
Send all Miers-o-Meter mail to email@example.com.
TODAY IN SLATE
I was hit by a teacher in an East Texas public school. It taught me nothing.
Yes, Black Families Tend to Spank More. That Doesn’t Mean It’s Good for Black Kids.
Why Greenland’s “Dark Snow” Should Worry You
If You’re Outraged by the NFL, Follow This Satirical Blowhard on Twitter
The Best Way to Organize Your Fridge
The GOP’s Focus on Fake Problems
Why candidates like Scott Walker are building campaigns on drug tests for the poor and voter ID laws.
Giving Up on Goodell
How the NFL lost the trust of its most loyal reporters.