New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg was apoplectic in the wake of federal Judge Shira Scheindlin’s order and opinion [PDF] finding the city’s stop-and-frisk program unconstitutional as applied, suggesting at a news conference that New Yorkers’ “right to walk down the street without being killed or mugged” is now very much in jeopardy. Bloomberg doubled down in an interview Friday, suggesting that Scheindlin was just “some woman” who knows “absolutely zero” about policing. “Your safety and the safety of your kids is now in the hands of some woman who does not have the expertise to do it.”
New York City Police Commissioner Ray Kelly followed with similar disdain, claiming to be offended and disturbed by the judge’s “recklessly untrue” finding that the NYPD engages in racial profiling in carrying out stop-and-frisk. Both hammered the theme of effectiveness, criticizing Scheindlin’s failure to account for the program’s success in dragging New York City from the brink of a future in which only an eye patch-wearing Kurt Russell could help us all escape.
The problem with effectiveness arguments is that you can make them to undermine any constitutional protection. Think of how effectively we could protect America if we could quash dissenting voices, which the First Amendment otherwise prevents, or how easier it would to jail suspects without the Fifth and Sixth. The problem, at least in Bloomberg’s case, is that even his efficacy arguments are not borne out by facts.
Fortunately for Judge Scheindlin, the statistics, directly compiled from records kept by the NYPD between January 2004 and June 2012, back her up on the constitutional question. They amply bear out her two key findings: 1) The NYPD frequently stopped and frisked suspects without the requisite “reasonable suspicion” required by the Fourth Amendment, and 2) blacks and Latinos were singled out by this program at a grossly disproportionate rate, violating the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment.
Scheindlin had a wealth of statistical data to draw upon, from which she found that the NYPD made 4.4 million stops over the 8.5-year span in question. Approximately half of those stops resulted in frisks. Six percent of all stops resulted in arrest, and 6 percent resulted in summons. In 52 percent of all stops, the person was black; in 31 percent, Hispanic; and in 10 percent, white (against a population made up of 23 percent black, 29 percent Hispanic, and 33 percent white).
Many city residents might shrug at these numbers, reasoning: Well, sure, blacks and Hispanics just so happen to live in high-crime areas. What are the police supposed to do?
But drill down further and the numbers are more difficult to reconcile with basic common sense. For instance:
- In 23 percent of the stops of blacks, and 24 percent of the stops of Hispanics, the officer recorded using force, whereas the number for whites was only 17 percent.
- Between 2004 and 2009, the percentage of stops where the officer failed to state a specific suspected crime rose from 1 percent to 36 percent.
Even viewing the evidence in a light most favorable to the city (inevitable, given that the NYPD was self-reporting), Scheindlin shows that at the very least, 200,000 stops were made over the nine-year time frame without any reasonable suspicion whatsoever noted by the reporting officer.
So there’s the constitutional question. But the next two statistics are eye-catching because they appear to undermine the city’s more fundamental argument about the effectiveness of stop-and-frisk.
- Weapons were seized in 1.0 percent of the stops of blacks, 1.1 percent of the stops of Hispanics, and 1.4 percent of the stops of whites.
- Contraband other than weapons was seized in 1.8 percent of the stops of blacks, 1.7 percent of the stops of Hispanics, and 2.3 percent of the stops of whites.
These supposed success rates are what one might expect to find if you stopped and frisked any random cross-section of humanity, say, in the parking lot before a Jets or Giants football game. But remember, the stops at issue here were ostensibly triggered by a police officer’s “reasonable suspicion”—shouldn’t those stops have borne more illegal fruit? Also, since reasonable suspicion was present for at least the majority of stops captured by the study, isn’t the claim of necessity and effectiveness further statistically undermined?
It’s worth noting that for both Bloomberg and Kelly, the timing is of this decision is horrible. Bloomberg is only a fiscal quarter away from his last days as the city’s billionaire-in-chief, leaving him little to no time to repair what could turn out to be a significant stain on his legacy. Bloomberg vows to appeal to the 2nd Circuit, but what if the next mayor declines to pursue the challenge?
For Kelly, rumored to be on President Obama’s short list to head up the Department of Homeland Security (Obama called Kelly "well qualified"), the timing is even worse. Kelly was already a controversial pick to head the DHS. With Scheindlin’s opinion now more or less cementing the unconstitutionality of Kelly's brand of stop-and-frisk, perhaps he may be too toxic a pick for the president, who only a month ago spoke about racial profiling in movingly personal terms at the conclusion of the George Zimmerman/Trayvon Martin trial.
President Obama, as we already know, has a sizeable Fourth Amendment problem of his own, one having less to do with racial profiling than with profiling, period. But unlike stop-and-frisk, the NSA domestic surveillance program has yet to be scrutinized by the likes of Shira Scheindlin or any federal judge whose name is even known to the general public. The justifications of necessity and effectiveness and how they trump any and all constitutional concerns are familiar, however.
What ultimately saves the NSA domestic surveillance program from the same fate as stop-and-frisk, to this point at least, is the secret FISA court mechanism, which shields the NSA program from meaningful judicial scrutiny. With the endorsement of all three branches of government, the underlying question of the NSA’s constitutionality—that is, whether these warrantless data-mining searches, to amass haystacks from which the government can hunt down terrorist needles without probable cause or individualized suspicion, are legal—is effectively laundered. It’s legal, they say. But the more pertinent question is whether it’s constitutional, and it is troubling to be told, in effect, “Trust us, and settle for legal.”