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No. 2 in Tehran

In Iran's presidential election, the race to watch is for second place.

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If change is going to come peacefully—or at all—a strong dissident figurehead could be what is most needed. Whether Moin is a man of that quality, or whether he will disappoint in the style of Khatami, is perhaps the greatest of many unanswered questions.

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Scott MacMillan is a freelance journalist who lives in Cairo.

Photographs of: Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani by Majid/Getty Images; Mostafa Moin by Getty Images; Iranian President Mohammad Khatami by Salah Malkawi/Getty Images.