On Monday and Tuesday, in homage to the "turnout is everything" analysts, I predicted the outcome of tight races based on the USA Today weather map. Today is judgment day. How accurate was the weather forecast election forecast?
Prediction: Dry weather increases Democratic turnout, and Chuck Schumer wins.
Result: Dry weather, and Schumer won.
Prediction: If it rains, devoted Republicans vote and Ellen Sauerbrey unseats Gov. Parris Glendening.
Result: It rained, but Glendening won easily.
Prediction: Rain should suppress Democratic turnout, and Sen. Lauch Faircloth wins re-election.
Result: It rained, but Democrat John Edwards defeated Faircloth.
TODAY IN SLATE
The Most Terrifying Thing About Ebola
The disease threatens humanity by preying on humanity.
I Bought the Huge iPhone. I’m Already Thinking of Returning It.
Scotland Is Just the Beginning. Expect More Political Earthquakes in Europe.
Students Aren’t Going to College Football Games as Much Anymore
And schools are getting worried.
Two Damn Good, Very Different Movies About Soldiers Returning From War
Lifetime Didn’t Think the Steubenville Rape Case Was Dramatic Enough
So they added a little self-immolation.
Blacks Don’t Have a Corporal Punishment Problem
Americans do. But when blacks exhibit the same behaviors as others, it becomes part of a greater black pathology.