And the wild card pick: Illinois. Sen. Carol Moseley-Braun has been rising in the polls, but she still seems to trail Republican challenger Peter Fitzgerald. Good news for Moseley-Braun in USA Today. Chicago, her stronghold, will have dry weather, and heavily Republican downstate Illinois will be soaked. She holds her seat against all expectations. The new forecast says Chicago weather will be "dismal," just as bad as it is downstate. Sorry, Carol.
(We promise that these Slate predictions are just as reliable as the weather forecasts they're based on.)