Tip of the Juiceberg
If A-Rod flunked a drug test, what else don't we know?
Also in Slate: Tim Marchman argues that nobody liked Alex Rodriguez before the steroids and nobody likes him now.
Does it make any sense that somebody resisted steroids for eight years in places such as Seattle and Texas in the Wild West days when there was no drug testing or public pressure whatsoever, and then suddenly (and with the security of a $252 million contract in his pocket) choose to use them precisely when drug testing and the public pressure are put in place for the first time?
Sixth: The steroid for which Rodriguez tested positive was Primobolan, a drug on which players allegedly relied to fool the 2003 drug tests. As SI explains, "Primobolan is detectable for a shorter period of time than the steroid previously favored by players, Deca-Durabolin."
If Rodriguez was using drugs calculated to evade detection, how many other tests did he and others beat this way? How many tests are they still beating?
Seventh: Three players reportedly told SI that the chief operating officer of the players asociation tipped Rodriguez about a 2004 drug test that was supposed to be a surprise. Their allegation echoes the 2007 Mitchell report. A tipped player can beat the test by flushing the forbidden drugs from his system or using other drugs to mask them.
How many times did Rodriguez and others escape detection thanks to tips?
In fact: Did Rodriguez flunk the 2003 test precisely because its results were never supposed to be disclosed—and therefore a tip was thought to be unnecessary?
And while we're at it, SI's Selena Roberts astutely asks: Why would the players association boss tip a clean player? Wouldn't you tip the guy you suspect might otherwise flunk?
Eighth: As Tim Marchman points out in Slate, we're just now finding out, six years later, about the 2003 test. We know Rodriguez was using what was then a state-of-the-art drug for evading detection.
What are the chances that the state of the art hasn't advanced in those six years? How many players are fooling today's tests? When, if ever, will we find out about it?
Remember, none of this is conclusive evidence. These are just questions. Maybe Rodriguez never doped until the testing program began, and he was caught the first time he tried it. Maybe he was tipped just that one time and just as an innocent favor. Maybe it's pure coincidence that he chose Primobolan. Maybe the state of the art hasn't advanced, and every player on steroids is being caught. Maybe no other lists of failed test results have been destroyed, concealed, or legally suppressed.
And if you believe that, I've got a $275 million slugger to sell you.
Will Saletan covers science, technology, and politics for Slate and says a lot of things that get him in trouble.
Photograph of Alex Rodriguez by Jim Rogash/Getty Images.